Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.242649 1.526434 1.895213 2.426183 3.201893 4.350539 6.309820
2025-04-06 0.856178 1.150075 1.590663 2.352609 3.778932 6.755300 15.431465
2025-04-13 0.668402 0.947712 1.405922 2.305028 4.346325 10.214029 44.815920
2025-04-20 0.587699 0.874353 1.385232 2.520780 5.709915 19.841534 545.333157
2025-04-27 0.521397 0.803441 1.338373 2.652030 7.112462 39.595956 NaN
2025-05-04 0.460641 0.726877 1.253981 2.645330 8.138560 75.417565 NaN
2025-05-11 0.406834 0.652135 1.151993 2.539267 8.668723 133.872673 NaN
2025-05-18 0.374577 0.612284 1.114599 2.602764 10.301104 471.048434 NaN
2025-05-25 0.351894 0.586964 1.103043 2.744912 13.006290 25195.926328 NaN
2025-06-01 0.325955 0.550890 1.057285 2.748359 14.914291 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.298938 0.508971 0.988594 2.635801 15.557883 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.285513 0.493788 0.984120 2.775051 20.034214 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.268720 0.469801 0.953387 2.799667 23.753798 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.250386 0.440500 0.903422 2.717967 25.581445 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.234937 0.415972 0.862441 2.661158 28.100308 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.229903 0.414080 0.884199 2.928217 44.541981 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.222273 0.405311 0.884431 3.091672 65.749338 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.211580 0.388278 0.856893 3.083332 80.579225 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.199418 0.366722 0.812336 2.951286 83.021952 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.192403 0.356762 0.802108 3.030276 118.591022 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.187557 0.351506 0.805756 3.207808 217.153858 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.180215 0.339512 0.785743 3.212125 306.794138 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.171254 0.322882 0.748327 3.071451 310.672282 NaN NaN